Zhu Mingzhen (William) - Rookie Watch


Zhu Mingzhen was the second overall pick in this years CBA draft. After being one of the top high school players in Beijing at with Number 4 Highschool, he went to Peking University where although was never a star player, he played an important role of a spot up shooter and versatile defender. In this years 2020 CUBA Competition he did not play up to his ability never finding his rhythm and often forcing bad shots. But the previous year in 2019 he was a key piece alongside Wang Shaojie and Zhang Ning as they won the Championship and he shot 46% from 3 during the tournament. Mainly playing off the ball in college his role in the CBA does not change, and on a weak team like Guangzhou he should continue to get minutes which will help his development.

Physically William has good size and length for his position also having a good bulk and strength. However he is not an elite athlete and lacks quickness and explosiveness.

Offensively William is strictly a spot up shooter right now, who moves well without the ball and spaces the floor well for teammates. He shows consistent footwork and a quick release both important traits of a good spot up shooter. So far in 12 games he is 16/46 (35%) from beyond the 3-point line a number which fairly reflects his shooting ability right now. Williams struggles attacking closeouts and doesn’t have any moves versus help defense forcing him to look for contact and forcing a contested layup or settling for a midrange jumper both which have not been effective, as his true shooting percentage is currently only at 48%. He does not posses good enough ball handling and quickness to be the second pick and roll or dribble hand off option and has trouble creating his own shot late in the clock. His turnover rate of 17.9% is currently too high for his role and he should limit his offense to spot up jump-shots instead of forcing drives at times where he turns the ball over, but this number should go down as he gets more comfortable, in his college career both in 2019 and 2020 he was able to keep his turnover rate below 8%.

Defensively his strengths are his length and physicality guarding the ball and acting as a help defender. He is strong enough to hold his own in the post against most CBA players at his position and also works hard to guard quicker players on the perimeter. He has been used often guarding opposing imports so far this season with mixed results, at times he does a good job contesting shots and forcing misses but also often getting beat off the dribble and giving up layups. He’s shown glimpses of being a very good closeout defender as he has the length and anticipation to closeout quickly and contest shots or force opponents to put the ball on the floor. But at the same time we also see him close out short at times where he could easily have put more pressure on shooters. So far this season his rim protection numbers are not good as opponents shot 22 out of 39 with 9 fouls and 4 And1s, resulting in 1.26 PPP.

William is a spot up shooter who still lacks consistency and is has potential to be a good defender as he can guard multiple positions. Being able to consistently make 3s and also not being a liability defensively already makes him a valuable player in this league. Overall William is already an average player in this league and has potential to be a slightly above average player as he possesses all the tools to fit an important role in the CBA.

数据解析榜眼秀祝铭震的优缺点

祝铭震是今年的CBA榜眼秀,他高中就读于篮球名校北京四中,之后为北京大学篮球队效力,他大学生涯中一直在球队中扮演着定点投手和防守球员的角色。在2020年CUBA比赛中,祝铭震没有发挥出自己应有的水平,他找不到自己的节奏,总是在不理想的条件下强行出手。在之前一个赛季中,他是球队阵容中关键的组成部分,与王少杰和张宁一起帮助北大赢下了2019年CUBA总冠军,祝铭震该赛季的三分命中率为46%。在大学联赛中,他在进攻端的主要方式为无球,进入CBA后依然会扮演同样的角。

在身体条件方面,祝铭震作为他这个位置的球员,拥有不错的身高和臂展,也足够强壮。但由于速度和爆发力的不足,他的运动能力并不算出众。

在进攻端,祝铭震的角色严格意义上讲算是定点投手,他在无球跑动及拉开空间方面都做的很好。他有着良好的投篮脚步动作,出手动作快,以上两点都是成为一名好的定点投手必备的条件。在之前的12场比赛中,他的三分球出手46次,命中16次,命中率为35%,这项数据也算对他目前能力的真实体现。但当面对防守球员扑防三分时,祝铭震没有很好的应对办法。他的篮下终结能力并不好,而且会选择低效率的中距离投篮,所以他的真实命中率仅为48%。因为不具备良好的运球能力,在挡拆和单打时,他并不能给自己和队友创造机会。目前他的失误率为17.9%,这项数据对于他扮演的角色来说太高了,他应该把自己的进攻方式限制于接球定点投篮,减少自主突破,他的失误都是在突破时发生的。随着与球队进一步的磨合,他的失误率应该会下降,他之前在CUBA 2019及2020赛季中的失误率都控制在8%以下。

在防守端,祝铭震的优势是他的臂展和强壮的身体,在低位对上大部分CBA球员时他都不会吃亏,同时在防守速度较快的外线球员时也表现积极。本赛季,教练经常会布置他盯防外援,但效果有好有坏,有时他干扰对方投篮和迫使对手投失方面做得不错,但也经常被对手一步过掉轻松上篮。祝铭震显示出了能成为优秀外线防守球员的潜质,他拥有良好的臂展条件,会很快地扑防到三分线,干扰对方投篮或者迫使对手运球。但与此同时我们也发现祝铭震在扑防三分方面会有距离不足的问题,他本可以更轻松地给对手施加更多压力。本赛季截至目前,他的护筐数据不好,对手面对他出手39次,投中22次,9次犯规,其中有四次被对手打成二加一,被对手平均每回合得分为1.26PPP。

祝铭震作为定点投手仍缺乏一些稳定性。他可以防守多个位置,有成为一名出色防守球员的潜质。3D球员在现代篮球中扮演着重要的角色,祝铭震虽然各项能力还没有达到水准,但他似乎已经找到了如何成为有用球员的方向。总而言之,祝铭震如今已经具备了联盟平均水平,也有潜力向上更进一步。

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